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Final result prediction in female 400m track event based on results achieved at certain race segments

The main aim of this research study was to determine the influence of 6 predictor variables, related to split times at every 100m of 400m race as well as of first and last 200m of 400m race, on criterion variable - final result in 400m event. Entity sample included 32 results from 26 female athletes who were participants of final 400m races at four World Championships in Athletics: Stuttgart (1993), Athens (1997), Seville (1999) and Berlin (2009). Data needed for this research study were obtained from official results and published biomechanical analyses. Multiple regression analysis revealed very high influence of predictor variables on criterion variable, that is – on final 400m result, with 99% of shared variance at the p level of 0.01. Observation of partial coefficients and split times at every 100m showed the best correlation to final result was split running time from 300th to 400thm, as well as running time of both 200m segments of 400m race, especially the second 200m. It can be concluded that all predictor variables are significant for successful placement in 400m race.

athletics, 400m sprint, women, running dynamics

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