engleski

The analysis of developmental trends in the Olympic results of women's high jump

The aim of this research is to predict the achievements at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics based on the analysis of the winners’ results achieved at the 1948-2016 Olympics, and the comparison of winners’ results at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics and the season’s best results. Analyses of total training performed, results achieved at a particular competition as well as prediction of results represent a major role for the optimal guidance of planning and programming, training periodization and tapering. Prediction of results for the 2020 Tokyo Olympics was conducted by approximation of the winners’ results from previous years. In accordance with the 2nd degree polynomial, the predicted result is 199.22 cm, and in accordance with the 3rd degree polynomial 197.01 cm. The predicted results are in accordance with the stagnation and the slight drop in the winner’s result. The arithmetic mean of ten best results has proven best at the 1996 Atlanta Olympics (197.80 cm) and the lowest at the 1948 London Olympics (158.10 cm), as expected. In accordance with the secondary aim, it has been determined that there is no statistically significant difference between winners’ results achieved at the Olympics (201.45) and the season’s best result achieved during the same season (203.00 cm), starting with the 1976 Montreal Olympics and ending with the 2016 Rio de Janeiro Olympics.

women’s high jump, the Olympics, prediction of results

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