engleski

Enlargement of the EU, Migrations and the Labour Market

The existence of disproportions in size and population age composition between the accession candidates and existing EU member countries does not necessarily imply the existence of a migration motive. The motivation lays in economic disproportions, in the possibilities of transformation of demographic into labour potentials, and in expectations. Economic disproportions are accentuated, with an average ratio of GNP per capita between the EU and the 10 candidate countries of approximately 4:1. The enlargement of the internal market of the EU decreases homogeneity, thus increasing the need for transfers speeding up development and slowing down internal migrations. The latter most often includes working age population, a phenomenon that could ultimately lead to disproportions in the labor supply and demand. Labor markets of the more developed regions are the ones that could expect more difficulties, which could in turn reinforce other tensions between the existing and new member states. The answer may lay in the development dynamisation by putting new fresh factors into use, thus lowering unemployment, which, in turn, eases migrational pressures through positive expectations.

EU enlargement; migrations; labor market; unemployment

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