Nalazite se na CroRIS probnoj okolini. Ovdje evidentirani podaci neće biti pohranjeni u Informacijskom sustavu znanosti RH. Ako je ovo greška, CroRIS produkcijskoj okolini moguće je pristupi putem poveznice www.croris.hr
izvor podataka: crosbi

Modeling the Epidemic Outbreak and Dynamics of COVID-19 in Croatia (CROSBI ID 694677)

Prilog sa skupa u zborniku | izvorni znanstveni rad | međunarodna recenzija

Lojić Kapetanović, Ante ; Poljak, Dragan Modeling the Epidemic Outbreak and Dynamics of COVID-19 in Croatia // Health track, SpliTech 2020. 2020. str. 1-5 doi: 10.23919/SpliTech49282.2020.9243757

Podaci o odgovornosti

Lojić Kapetanović, Ante ; Poljak, Dragan

engleski

Modeling the Epidemic Outbreak and Dynamics of COVID-19 in Croatia

The paper deals with a modeling of the ongoing epidemic caused by Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on the closed territory of Republic of Croatia. Using official public information on the number of confirmed infected, recovered and deceased individuals, the modified SEIR compartmental model is developed to describe the underlying dynamics of the epidemic. Fitted modified SEIR model provides the prediction of the disease progression in near future, considering strict control interventions by means of social distancing and quarantine for infected and at-risk individuals introduced at the beginning of COVID-19 spread on February, 25 th by Croatian Ministry of Health. Assuming the accuracy of provided data and satisfactory representativeness of the model used, basic reproduction number is derived. Obtained results portray potential positive developments and justify the stringent precautionary measures introduced by the Ministry of Health.

SARS-CoV-2 ; COVID-19 ; epidemic modeling ; compartmental epidemiology models

nije evidentirano

nije evidentirano

nije evidentirano

nije evidentirano

nije evidentirano

nije evidentirano

Podaci o prilogu

1-5.

2020.

objavljeno

10.23919/SpliTech49282.2020.9243757

Podaci o matičnoj publikaciji

Health track, SpliTech 2020

Podaci o skupu

5th International Conference on Smart and Sustainable Technologies 2020

predavanje

23.09.2020-26.09.2020

Bol, Hrvatska

Povezanost rada

Interdisciplinarne biotehničke znanosti

Poveznice