engleski

Model for the economic impact of tourism development in Africa from 2008 to 2028

The purpose of this study has been the creation of the model for the influence of tourism development on Africa’s economies, following the growth rates until the year 2028. An adequate combination of scientific methods has been applied, including analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, descriptive, comparative, statistical and mathematical methods, and the method of modeling (growth matrix). Over the last decades, Africa has experienced substantial social and economic progress that has resulted in the considerable growth of the tourism industry. The international flow of tourists has been increased, making Africa the second-fastest tourism region in the world, just after the Asia Pacific region. Positive political changes and heavy investment in the tourism industry have resulted in 67 million visitors in 2018 and an average share in GDP amounting to 8.5%. The lack of statistics limited, to some extent, the scope of this research at the time it was performed. The proposal for future research would, therefore, include the analyses of individual African countries and their tourism potentials, particularly about the political issues and the outbreaks of Ebola. Broadly speaking, tourism produces strong multiplier effects in all branches of the economy and is therefore very important for the growth of African economies. Experience of tourism on the “black continent” can certainly serve as a motive for thinking about tourism in Croatia. Africa’s greatest tourism values include pristine scenery and ideal potentials for the development of adventure tourism that is very popular among young age tourists who like to leave their comfort zone for exploration or travel to remote and exotic areas.

growth matrix, economy, gross domestic product, tourist arrivals, employment

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