engleski

SEAP scenarios and negative interaction between planned measures

The paper will show an analysis of the most used measures and actions for the reduction of energy consumption and CO2 emissions which are used in Sustainable Energy Action Plans. Measures are usually grouped in sectors and most often are divided into buildings, transport and public lighting, respectively. The buildings sector is subdivided into public buildings, residential and commercial buildings. The transport sector is subdivided on public transport, public vehicles and private and commercial transport. It is determined which measures are mostly used in each sector and what are their expected potential considering energy consumption and CO2 emissions reduction. Mutual interaction between measures, which has an influence on the total result of energy consumption and CO2 emissions reduction, is done through simulation on the specific case in which interaction between the simultaneous implementation of measures is analysed. For the simulation, energy planning software LEAP is used. In this way, it is shown that measures have either synergetic, negative or neutral interaction between them. The analysis showed the negative interaction is prevailing and that recommendations for the adaptation of scenario approach to comprehending this interaction between different measures in SEAPs should be provided in order to be more efficient in the planning of measures for the reduction of CO2 emissions on a local level. In this way, it will be determined what are expected effects and how big are negative interactions influence on the reductions connected to implementation of measures.

SEAP, CO2 reduction measures, scenario analysis, negative interaction of measures.

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