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izvor podataka: crosbi

Application of Reliability Analysis for Risk Ranking in a Levee Reconstruction Project (CROSBI ID 275517)

Prilog u časopisu | izvorni znanstveni rad | međunarodna recenzija

Kovačević, Meho Saša ; Librić, Lovorka ; Ivoš, Gordana ; Cerić, Anita Application of Reliability Analysis for Risk Ranking in a Levee Reconstruction Project // Sustainability, 12 (2020), 4; 1404, 16. doi: 10.3390/su12041404

Podaci o odgovornosti

Kovačević, Meho Saša ; Librić, Lovorka ; Ivoš, Gordana ; Cerić, Anita

engleski

Application of Reliability Analysis for Risk Ranking in a Levee Reconstruction Project

Levees are embankments designed for passive flood protection. In order to reduce the potential of climate‐induced flooding risks, it is necessary to reconstruct or upgrade the existing levees. Flood risk management aims to reduce the probability of floods and their potential adverse effects on the population, economy, and environment. This paper presents the novel application of reliability analysis for risk ranking in the Otok Virje‐Brezje levee reconstruction project in the Republic of Croatia. To identify, verify and analyse key risks, a group of 35 experts, who were directly involved in the levee reconstruction project or have extensive experience in similar projects, was selected. An Analytic network process (ANP) was used for group multi criteria decisionmaking. Quantitative and qualitative approaches to risk analysis were combined. Different experts from the various organisations may have diverse interests and goals. The geometric mean method was chosen to reach group consensus. The resources that will be allocated to the risk responses are proportional to the risk exposures. To analyse the reliability of the group consensus‐reaching method a determination of the risk ranking probability matrix is proposed by using the Monte Carlo simulation method. Different decision‐making approaches are proposed for cases in which consensus is not reached with satisfactory reliability.

levee ; risk ranking ; brainstorming technique ; analytic network process (ANP) ; group decision making ; reliability analysis

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Podaci o izdanju

12 (4)

2020.

1404

16

objavljeno

2071-1050

10.3390/su12041404

Povezanost rada

Građevinarstvo

Poveznice
Indeksiranost