engleski

The Role of Precarious Employment in Emigration Flows from Croatia

Current global economic trends, trade competition and technological change, have greatly expanded the complexity of labour market contracts and increased the number of employees working under temporary work status and non-standard forms of employment. Part of economic theory tries to explain the influence of those labour market trends on migration. This is particularly important in the case of Croatia, which has been experiencing a large scale of emigration in recent years. The number of people that left abroad increased four times from 2012. The aim of this paper is to investigate the role of precarious employment in international migration movements, especially from Croatia, but also from Central and East European countries (CEEC). Data on migration, wages, employment quality, GDP and unemployment used in this paper come from the Croatian Bureau of Statistics for Croatia and Eurostat databases for the rest of the sample. The choice of methodology is driven by the characteristics of the dataset that requires a suitable estimator in the family of the panel estimators. The results suggest that traditionally wage differentials influence emigration, which is consistent with conventional economic theory. However, precarious employment, measured as a share of short-term contracts in total employment, also has an important role in explaining international movements which support newer economic-migration theories.

emigration ; precarious employment ; Croatia

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