engleski

Need for a Regional Summit to prevent Environmental Modification Operations in South Eastern Europe

The „Convention on the prohibition of military or any other hostile use of environmental modification technique“ (referred lately in this paper as “Convention”), effective since 5 October 1978, strictly forbade military usage of Environmental Modification Techniques (ENMOD). The Convention protects signatory nations more broadly ; against any other hostile use of the ENMOD technologies, and to advocate cooperation, trust and scientific knowledge exchange between the signatory nations. The Convention also offers UN role in consultation, protection and the determined protocol for a possible issue caused by the application of the ENMOD technologies. Since the dissolution of Yugoslavia, in the early nineties, only one country ; the Republic of Slovenia, ratified the Convention. Due to this fact, a large area in Southeast Europe has no proper international regulation of this matter. Regardless of the minor possibility of military ENMOD application in the region, there is an increasing expectancy of unilateral ENMOD applications as a response to economic losses caused by climate change (impacts on hydrology cycle, agriculture, forestry etc.). The main goal of this work is to apply an objective multi-criterion decision analyse, in the form of combined Analytic Hierarchy Process and Analytic Network Process, to suggest a course of action for decision-makers in the ENMOD regulation. Besides ranked alternatives, many latent and side suggestions arose from the results helping to determine the next best alternative in the case of inability to realize the best option: assembling a regional summit to promote Convention ratification.

Environmental Modification Techniques, ENMOD, multi-criteria decision analysis, Analytic Hierarchy Process, Analytic Network Process

nije evidentirano